60th Esreda seminar - ADVANCES IN MODELLING TO IMPROVE NETWORK RESILIENCE

WEDNESDAY 4TH MAY, 2022

8.30am Registration & Welcome coffee
9.15am Welcome to participants from ESReDA
Université Grenoble Alpes and Chairman of the Conference
9.45am Keynote lecture:
“Risk and Resilience of Infrastructure Systems”, by Anne Barros, Centrale Supélec, France
10.30am Coffee Break

11.00am Session 1: Resilience of Electrical Networks

• “Improving power system frequency response with a novel load shedding method”, paper 2, by Andrejs Utans*, Antans Sauhats*, Laila Zemite*, Dimitrijs Guzs**; *RTU, Latvia; **AST, Latvia
• “Improved Modeling of Fault Propagation, Isolation, and Fast Service Restoration in Smart Grids”, paper 8, by Youba Nait Belaid, Yiping Fang, Zhiguo Zeng, Anne Barros; CentraleSupélec, France
• “Interdependencies of infrastructures in Smart Cities and advanced topological approach for the resiliency of coupled systems - example of Power and ICT systems”, paper 19, by Raphael Caire; Grenoble INP, France.
• “Bayesian updating and reliability analysis for nuclear containment buildings”, paper 5, by Donatien Rossat*, Julien Borath*, Frédéric Dufour*, Matthieu Briffaut*, Benoît Masson**, Alexandre Monteil**, Sylvie Michel-Ponnelle**; *Grenoble INP, France; **EDF, France.

12.20am Lunch

2.00pm Session 2: Infrastructure resilience to natural hazards

• “A Simulation Approach for Evaluating Interventions to Improve the Resilience of Transport Networks Against Climate-Induced Hazards”, paper 1, by Hossein Nasrazadani*, Bryan Adey*, Saviz Moghtadernejad* and Alice Alipour**; *ETH Zurich, Switzerland; **Iowa State University, USA
• “The prevention of NATECH risks on the Italian territory: the importance of the Safety Management System”, paper 16, by Romualdo Marrazzo, Fabrizio Vazzana; Ispra, Italy
• “An Overview of Causes of Landslides and Their Impacts on Transport Networks”, paper 14, by Kwan Ben Sim*, Min Lee Lee*, Rasa Remenyte- Prescott**, Soon Yee Wong*; *University of Nottingham, Malaysia; **University of Nottingham, UK
• “Risk and resilience in practice: a methodology for implementation of Mountain Risk Management and Prevention Strategy (StePRiM)”, paper 10, by Jean-Marc Tacnet*, Simon Carladous**, François Sassus**, Eva Ripert***, Patrick Lagleize***, Ariance Stephan****; *Grenoble INRAE, France; **Office National des Forêts, France; ***Communauté de Communes Pyrénées Haut Garonnaises, France; ****Ministère de la Transition Ecologique, France
• “Decision-Aiding Towards Improved Resilience of a Deteriorating Debris Retention Dam Subject to Maintenance Strategies”, paper 11, by Nour Chahrour*, Guillaume Piton**, Jean-Marc Tacnet**, Christophe Bérenguer*; *Grenoble INP, France; **Grenoble INRAE, France

3.40pm Coffee Break

4.00pm Session 3: Resilience evaluation

• “Definition and nature of resilience”, paper 3, by Yves Merian; IMdR, France
• “Study of a degrading system with stochastic arrival intensity subject to CBM”, paper 9, by Lucia Bautista Bárcena, Inmaculada T. Castro, Luis Landesa Porras; University of Extremadura, Spain
• “Risk Management with Multi-categorical Risk Assessment”, paper 13, by Sandra König*, Stefan Schauer*, Mona Soroudi**, Ili Ko**, Paraic Caroll**, Daniel McCrum**; *AIT, Austria; **University College Dublin, Ireland

5.00pm ESReDA GENERAL ASSEMBLY

18h30 End of the 1st day

8.00pm Seminar Dinner (Grenoble Bastille)

 

THURSDAY 5TH MAY 2022

8.30am Welcome coffee
9.00am Keynote lecture: TBC

9.30am Session 4: Resilience of Transport Networks and Smart Cities

• “Resilience and Capacity in Networks - A comparative investigation of rail transport networks and electric power grids”, paper 18, by Pierre Dersin; Luleå University of Technology, Sweden
• “Multi-objective optimization of mitigation and recovery actions to enhance resilience of road networks”, paper 15, by Alice Alipour, Ning Zhang; Iowa State University, USA
• “Simulation Supported Bayesian Network Approach for Performance Assessment of Complex Bridge Network Systems", paper 6, by Mohsen Songhori, Claudia Fecarotti, Geert-Jan van Houtum; Eindhoven University of Technology, The Netherlands
• “A Study on Resilience Index for Transport Infrastructure in China”, paper 20, by Chao Yang*, Rasa Remenyte-Prescott**; *China Transportation Institute, Tongji University, China; **University of Nottingham, UK

10.50am Coffee Break

11.20am Session 5: Resilience of Utility Networks

• “Real-time Monitoring of Gas Pipelines with Leak Detection and Localization via a Receding Horizon Observer”, paper 4, by Didier Georges; Grenoble INP, France
• “Gas network modelling to support pipeline hub area risk assessment”, paper 21, by Vytis Kopustinskas; Ispra, Italy
• “Influence of availability transients on network resilience”, paper 17, by Christian Tanguy; Orange Labs, France

12.40am Lunch

2.00pm Session 6: Resilience of Infrastructure Networks

• “The Use of Deep Reinforcement Learning for Sequential Reliability Improvement of an Infrastructure Network”, paper 7, by Jose Carlos Hernandez Azucena, Haitao Liao, Henley Wells, Kelly Sullivan, Ed Pohl; University of Arkansas, USA.
• “A Simulation-driven Tool for Supporting Risk and Resilience Assessment in Cities”, paper 12, by Stefan Schauer*, Thomas Hiebl**, Stefan Rass***, Sandra König*, Martin Latzenhofer*; *AIT, Austria; **Cubido Business Solutions, Austria; ***Universitaet Klagenfurt, Austria.

2.40pm Coffee Break

3.00pm Session 7: Student presentations (TBC)

4.00pm Conference Closure

 

SCOPE OF THE SEMINAR

In resilience engineering, failure is an inability to adapt to disruptions rather than a breakdown or malfunction, as is commonly the case in traditional risk analysis. Resilience encompasses the phases of avoiding (being proactive against the occurrence or consequences), absorbing (withstanding without reconfiguration), adapting to (reconfiguring) and recovering from disruptions (restoring the pre-disruption state as closely as possible).

Modern engineering systems continually increase in size and complexity, whilst also becoming more distributed, integrated, and autonomous, all of which can lead to many safety and risk management challenges. There is a constant, relentless pursuit of cheaper, more efficient, optimised performance, which can inadvertently introduce system vulnerabilities and potentially erode safety margins. Threats constantly evolve and emerge, with recent years seeing numerous failures of aging infrastructure, catastrophic events following natural disasters or due to the effects of climate change, and major disruption caused by deliberate acts such as terrorism and cyber or hybrid attacks. Increasingly automated and software-intensive infrastructure can struggle to adapt to unanticipated situations and can hence be extremely vulnerable to emergent threats. Coupling this with the growing complexity and interdependencies between infrastructure assets, it is clear that there is an urgent need for new approaches to protect these critical systems.
 

MANY OF THE CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE SYSTEMS ON WHICH MODERN SOCIETY IS SO DEPENDENT ARE NETWORKS

These include transport networks (rail, metro, highway, air traffic and shipping routes), utilities (electricity, gas, water) and communications (mobile phone, land line phones, internet). The disruption of such systems can have a big impact on the communities that they serve. Such critical systems must be resilient. It is important to understand the characteristics of such networks and the methods that exist to model their resilience and to identify their weaknesses so that efforts are targeted at those places that will most protect network performance.
The 60th ESReDA seminar will be a forum for exploring these and other related issues. We aim to discuss theories, concepts, and experiences of methods for improved network resilience. Authors are invited to present their research and experience and discuss challenges in enhancing resilience through modelling. We are encouraging new ideas, case studies and cross-sectoral and inter-disciplinary research on the theme of network resilience. This seminar will bring together researchers, practitioners, specialists and decision-makers to discuss strategies and practical experiences.

TARGET GROUPS AND DOMAINS OF APPLICATION

Papers for the seminar are invited from various stakeholders, from practitioners to researchers (industrialists, regulators, safety boards, universities, R&D organisations, engineering contractors and consultants, training specialists) and could address different sectors:
-    Transport: rail, road, air and maritime
-    Critical infrastructure: electricity, water, telecommunications, information systems
-    Urban planning and management
-    Public sector and government.

ORGANIZERS

GRENOBLE ALPES UNIVERSITY AND THE CROSS-DISCIPLINARY PROJECT RISK@UGA

The Risk@UGA project aims to develop interdisciplinarity and scientific innovation in the field of risk and disaster management in regions that are vulnerable due to a strong interdependence of hazards of human, natural or technological origin. In addition to the Grenoble basin, the project focuses on vulnerable territories in the region of Beirut in Lebanon, Port-au-Prince in Haiti, Peru and Nepal. The project also aims to propose a risk institute within Univ. Grenoble Alpes. See https://risk.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/

EUROPEAN SAFETY, RELIABILITY & DATA ASSOCIATION (ESREDA)

European Safety, Reliability & Data Association (ESReDA) is a European Association established in 1992 to promote research, application and training in Reliability, Availability, Maintainability and Safety (RAMS). The Association provides a forum for the exchange of information, data and current research in Safety and Reliability.
ESReDA membership is open to organisations, privates or governmental institutes, industry researchers and consultants, who are active in the field of Safety and Reliability. Membership fees are currently 1000 EURO for organisations and 500 EURO for universities and individual members. Special sponsoring or associate membership is also available.
For more information on ESReDA, contact: ESReDA General Secretary, Dr. Inga Šarūnienė, Senior Researcher at Lithuanian Energy Institute, Inga.Sarunienelei.lt (Inga[dot]Saruniene[at]lei[dot]lt)  
ESReDA address: European Safety, Reliability & Data Association, an International Non-Profit Scientific Association under the Belgium law (June 27, 1921, Title III). Headquarter: ESReDA, rue Gachard 88 Bte 14, B-1050 Bruxelles, Belgium, Siret:E00005802.
Any interested party is welcome to contribute to ESReDA project groups.

ESREDA PROJECT GROUP ON RESILIENCE ENGINEERING AND MODELLING OF NETWORKED INFRASTRUCTURE

This project group was launched in autumn 2018 to work for 3 years to address aspects of Resilience of Networked Infrastructure. The project group meets twice a year. It gathers industry experts, researchers and consultants from: University of Nottingham (UK), University of Edinburgh (UK), Eindhoven University of Technology (Netherlands), Université Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Grenoble INP, GIPSA-lab (France), Université Grenoble Alpes, INRAE, ETNA, (France), Loughborough University (UK), Kaunas University of Technology (Lithuania), European Commission, Joint Research Centre – Ispra (Italy), British Geological Society (UK), Norwegian University of Science and Technology (Norway), Burapha University (Thailand), Tallinn University of Technology (Estonia), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology - KIT (Germany), University of Arkansas (USA), Wroclaw University of Science and Technology (Poland), ETH Zurich (Switzerland), Center for Digital Safety & Security, Austrian Institute of Technology (Austria), Riga Technical University (Latvia), Tongji University, Shanghai (China), University of Zaragoza (Spain). We will issue the book in 2021. This PG is due to finish in 2022.